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2019 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents




Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2019 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

2018 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2018 Most Targets
-2018 Most Carries
-2018 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2018 Redzone Passing
-2018 Redzone Rushing
-2018 Redzone Receiving
-2018 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

Ask the Commish.Com
2019
Draft Kit

RB 2nd Year Players

 

Guice, Derrius - WAS

Guice, Derrius

It was just a year ago when Guice was viewed as the second best running back in his draft class. His recovery from his torn ACL has gone well and he should have plenty of time before the start of the season to get ready. Washington's defense could be good enough for a run-heavy attack to work, and with their roster it's probably the only chance for success. Washington re-signed Adrian Peterson, drafted Bryce Love, and still has Chris Thompson, so it sure seems like the Redskins are going to have a committee in 2019. They're also going to have almost no passing game, which will mean a lot of eight-man boxes for the running backs to navigate. Guice is still a strong hold in Dynasty, but we may have to wait one more year to see him truly break out.


Ballage, Kalen - MIA

Ballage, Kalen

Kalen Ballage could be a popular sleeper this season since he's expected to share touches with Kenyan Drake - and potentially do more. While we don't anticipate Ballage working as the starter early in the season for Miami, he could emerge as a workhorse during the year. He's also a Drake injury away from a starting job. As a rookie in 2018, Ballage had two games with double digits in carries, and he scored 19 PPR points in Week 15 at Minnesota. There's a lot to like about Ballage in his sophomore campaign, and he's worth a late-round pick in all formats.


Chubb, Nick - CLE

Chubb, Nick

Chubb spent the first half of his rookie year waiting for the team to get Carlos Hyde out of his way before he took off. Well, that's not entirely true. He did run for 105 yards on three carries in Week 4 against the Raiders. But once Hyde left, he became the workhorse for the Browns, with 19 or more touches in seven of their final 10 games. Chubb's big plays are what most people remember, but he also showed an ability to grind between the tackles and some ability in the passing game. With the addition of Odell Beckham, Chubb should find even more room to run. A full season of Chubb, Beckham and Baker Mayfield should make for the most exciting season in Cleveland in a long, long time. Why did the Browns have to go and sign Kareem Hunt? It makes sense purely from a football sense, but it makes me a little queasy as a Fantasy player. Hunt will miss the first eight games of the season, and I can't imagine he makes an immediate impact after the suspension, but the end of the year is a little frightening at this point. If Chubb slows down or team wants to lighten his load down the stretch, this could become a headache. That would be maddening for teams that ride Chubb to the playoffs.


Barkley, Saquon - NYG

Barkley, Saquon

Barkley has everything you want in your No. 1 running back: Exceptional talent, success in the passing game, and an enormous workload. His production was so evenly balanced as a rookie, it's hard to see how he'd be stopped. He ran for more than 1,300 yards. He caught 91 passes. He scored 15 touchdowns. And he did it all efficiently. Barkley's youth, skill and usage should make him a top-two pick for many years to come and an easy choice at No. 1 overall in Dynasty. This offense could be really bad. The Giants replaced Odell Beckham with Golden Tate, and they're either going to have Eli Manning or Daniel Jones at quarterback. It's really hard to be the best running back in Fantasy on one of the worst teams in football. Barkley's production and efficiency in the passing game took a major hit in the last four games of 2018 without Beckham. His catch rate dipped south of 60 percent and his yards per catch fell almost a full yard. He didn't score a receiving touchdown in those four games either.


Jones II, Ronald - TB

Jones II, Ronald

Can Buccaneers running back Ronald Jones re-claim even a sliver of the potential he had when he was drafted out of USC last year? It seems like he lost his swagger in training camp last summer and it kept him from being a contributor for all of 2018. For crying out loud, he had 30 touches in nine games! Bruce Arians seemed to take a liking to Jones during the offseason and didn't add any serious competition to the backfield for him or starter Peyton Barber. Fantasy managers will be shy to take Jones with any draft pick, but if he makes headlines in August, his stock will shoot up into at least the middle rounds. Even without the headlines, Jones is a decent late-rounder.


Penny, Rashaad - SEA

Penny, Rashaad

The Seahawks invested a first-round pick in Penny last season, so it's hard to believe they don't view him as an important piece of their offense moving forward. This is a team that ran the ball 534 times in 2018, so there is plenty of room for both sides of a committee to have success. The Seahawks showed that in the second half of last season, giving Penny seven carries per game in the second half. He responded, averaging 6.4 yards per carry. With a full offseason he should get better in the passing game and have an impact in 2019 in all facets of the game. He may even take the lead role from Carson at some point. He just doesn't seem to run as hard as Carson, definitely not as violent. The Seahawks are a smash-mouth team now, and Penny did not look like he fit that mold as a rookie. Worse, he couldn't get on the field on passing downs. The Seahawks didn't seem to care that they'd spent a first-round pick on Penny last season, and I don't know why that would change a year later. He's a handcuff, nothing more.


Hines, Nyheim - IND

Hines, Nyheim

Off the heels of a 148-touch rookie season, Nyheim Hines hopes to lock up a meaningful role in the Colts offense this summer. He turned out to be a capable passing-downs back, catching nearly 80 percent of his 81 targets with four total touchdowns. While that job might end up being his, the reality is Hines won't be consistently productive until or unless something happens to starter Marlon Mack. That could come into play for a few games but it's not enough to tag Hines with a pick until the final rounds in PPR drafts.


Wilkins, Jordan - IND

Wilkins, Jordan

Jordan Wilkins figures to work behind Marlon Mack, and perhaps others, in the Colts run offense this season. A couple of long carries in the second half of last season helped him average 5.6 yards per carry, but he struggled to get even 3.6 yards per rush when he was relied upon in the early season. The only way he'll hit the Fantasy radar is if Mack misses significant time and Wilkins earns the primary backup job in camp. Until that happens, Wilkins should only be stashed in dynasty leagues.


Freeman, Royce - DEN

Freeman, Royce

The Broncos had a standout rookie running back in 2018, but it wasn't Royce Freeman. That honor went to Phillip Lindsay, who was undrafted but still made the Pro Bowl. Freeman, who was expected to be the star in Denver's backfield, played in more of a supporting role, and he only scored in double digits in PPR points three times. Lindsay is coming off a significant wrist injury from last year, so keep an eye on his health heading into the season, but Freeman is only worth drafting with a mid-round pick in most leagues. He was a disappointment as a rookie, but Freeman can still be a factor this season, even in a complementary role to Lindsay. And if Lindsay suffers a setback with his wrist or gets hurt again, Freeman could become a weekly starter in all formats.


Edmonds, Chase - ARI

Edmonds, Chase

Chase Edmonds is expected to be the No. 2 running back in Arizona this season behind David Johnson, but he has minimal Fantasy value in that role. Edmonds spent 2018 as the top backup to Johnson, but he only had one game with 10 total touches all season. He also had just one game with double digits in PPR points. Edmonds would have increased Fantasy value if Johnson got hurt, so keep an eye on him during the season as a potential waiver-wire addition. But he should only be drafted with a late-round flier in deeper leagues this year.


Lindsay, Phillip - DEN

Lindsay, Phillip

Lindsay was phenomenal as a rookie, averaging 5.4 yards per carry, catching 75 percent of his targets and scoring 10 touchdowns. He showed big-play ability with three carries that went for more than 40 yards and had success inside the red zone as well with five touchdowns on six carries inside the 5. The Broncos were very successful running the football in 2018 and Lindsay was a big reason why. He still hasn't fully recovered from his wrist injury suffered at the end of the season, which only highlights the injury concern for a smaller back like Lindsay. It also seems very likely he'll remain in a committee; he only had three games last season with more than 15 carries. A non-workhorse on what looks like a below-average offense has to be remarkably efficient to be a top-15 running back. Lindsay was that in 2018, but it's a little scary counting on that again this year.


Jackson, Justin - LAC

Jackson, Justin

Justin Jackson is expected to be the No. 3 running back for the Chargers this season behind Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler. In 2018, when Gordon missed time due to a knee injury, Jackson showed flashes of being Fantasy relevant. He scored 14 PPR points in Week 13 at Pittsburgh and 16 PPR points in Week 15 at Kansas City. But most likely, Jackson will need an injury to either Gordon or Ekeler to put himself on the Fantasy radar this season. He's not worth drafting in most leagues, but he is someone to monitor during the year as a potential waiver-wire addition.


Edwards, Gus - BAL

Edwards, Gus

Gus Edwards salvaged the Ravens' run game in the second half of 2018, but the arrival of Mark Ingram and rookie Justice Hill spells doom for Edwards' playing time. It's too bad -- in his last eight games of 2018, Edwards averaged a ridiculous 5.2 yards per rush while picking up carries at a 16.3 per game clip. With Ingram aboard, Edwards' touches are sure to sag since Ingram is considered a better rusher and Edwards offers nothing in the passing game. Pretty much the only way Edwards will be impactful is if Ingram misses playing time. Handcuff him to Ingram if you'd like, but ultimately Edwards has nothing more than very late-round value on Draft Day.


Adams, Josh - NYJ

Adams, Josh

Things just continue to get worse for Josh Adams this offseason, and he's not someone to covet in most leagues. First, the Eagles added Jordan Howard via trade from Chicago, and then Philadelphia selected rookie Miles Sanders in the second round of the NFL Draft. It was also reported in April that Adams is facing a six-month recovery from shoulder surgery. We'll see if Adams is healthy in time for the start of training camp, but Adams will have limited Fantasy value this season in a secondary role -- if he makes the final roster. Adams is not worth drafting in most leagues.




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