-2022 NFL Schedule -Strength of Schedule
MOCK DRAFT
Ask the Commish.Com 2022 Draft Kit
A.J. Brown's absurd efficiency and YAC-ability in Tennessee was a primary driving force behind Ryan Tannehill's fantasy success as a Titan. Even with Treylon Burks in the fold, it's hard to get overly excited about the Tennessee QB in one of the NFL's most run-heavy offenses devoid of any elite, proven pass-catchers. He got exposed without offensive coordinator Arthur Smith and weapons last season in 2021, finishing the season with his lowest passer rating to date as a Titan (88.1, 23rd). Tannehill's passer rating off play action throws also fell off (96.1 versus 109.5). 2022 is going to be a rude awakening for Tannehill, who has the largest cap hit in the NFL this year ($38.6M).
The rookie quarterback was highly efficient as a passer, finishing 18th in PFF passing grade, throwing 10-19 yards, 13th from a clean pocket and 10th on early downs. Those specific metrics tend to be sticky year over year and more predictive than raw counting stats. Still, those numbers were equally impressive for Jones, who posted the sixth-highest passer rating (92.5) and second-highest completion percentage (67.6%) for a rookie quarterback with at least 300 attempts in NFL history.
Trubisky has the chance to be the Steelers' starting quarterback this season, but he has to prove he's better than rookie Kenny Pickett. It's a quarterback battle to watch in training camp, and Trubisky would have sleeper appeal in two-quarterback and Superflex leagues if he wins the job. In one-quarterback leagues, Trubisky isn't worth drafting, but he could emerge as a waiver wire option during the year. And in two-quarterback and Superflex leagues, Trubisky would be a mid-round selection if he's the starter for Week 1. Last year, Trubisky was the backup to Josh Allen in Buffalo, but he spent the majority of the previous four seasons as the starter in Chicago. For three of those seasons, he averaged 18.5 Fantasy points per game or less, but he also averaged 22.1 points per game in his best season in 2018. He has potential as a Fantasy quarterback in Pittsburgh given the weapons there with Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool, George Pickens, Najee Harris and Pat Freiermuth, so see what happens in his competition with Pickett. We could be talking about Trubisky as a sleeper if he's ahead of Pickett heading into Week 1.
The former No. 2 overall draft pick is being penciled in as The Falcons' Week 1 starter, though he'll have to fend off rookie Desmond Ridder. Mariota is a nimble runner, but his passing ability leaves his employers wanting more. Mariota turns 29 in October, so it's probably too late to dream of vast untapped upside.
Mayfield played through a host of injuries last year, including a torn labrum in his non-throwing shoulder and a fractured humerus bone, but his performance was too bleak to be written off due to poor health. Mayfield threw 17 TD passes and 13 INTs in 14 games and somehow had a 9.3% sack rate despite playing with what's regarded as one of the better offensive lines in the league in Cleveland. It's too early to write off Mayfield entirely, but he will be have to learn a new offense in Carolina and fend off incumbent and fellow 2018 first-round draft pick Sam Darnold for starter duties. At best Baker is a game manager with limited fantasy value.