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2018 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents




Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2018 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2017 Top Performances
-2017 Most Fantasy Points
-2017 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2017 Median Fantasy Points
-2017 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2018 Schedule
-Easiest 2018 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2017 Top Performances
-2017 Most Fantasy Points
-2017 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2017 Median Fantasy Points
-2017 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2018 Schedule
-Easiest 2018 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2017 Top Performances
-2017 Most Fantasy Points
-2017 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2017 Median Fantasy Points
-2017 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2018 Schedule
-Easiest 2018 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2017 Top Performances
-2017 Most Fantasy Points
-2017 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2017 Median Fantasy Points
-2017 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2018 Schedule
-Easiest 2018 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2017 Top Performances
-2017 Most Fantasy Points
-2017 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2017 Median Fantasy Points
-2017 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2018 Schedule
-Easiest 2018 Playoff Schedule

2017 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2017 Most Targets
-2017 Most Carries
-2017 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2017 Redzone Passing
-2017 Redzone Rushing
-2017 Redzone Receiving
-2017 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

WR Moving Truck Tracker

 

Moncrief, Donte - JAC

Moncrief, Donte

Moncrief signed with the Jaguars following a rocky four seasons with the Colts. A third-round pick in 2014, Moncrief appeared in all 16 games during his first two NFL seasons, posting a career-best 64-733-6 line in 2015. That allowed him a 36th-place fantasy finish, but it was all downhill from there. Moncrief has missed 11 games the past two seasons, totaling a 56-698-9 line during that span. Moncrief is still only 24 years old and has shown flashes of his high ceiling, so hope for a breakout remains. Of course, he'll need to fend off Marqise Lee, Dede Westbrook, Keelan Cole, D.J. Chark and Austin Seferian-Jenkins for targets in a run-heavy offense. He's worthy of a late-round flier.


AMENDOLA, DANNY - MIA

AMENDOLA, DANNY

Amendola signed a two-year deal with the Dolphins after spending the past five years with the division-rival Patriots. Amendola finds himself in a similar position to where he was in New England, stuck without a clear path to targets. DeVante Parker and Kenny Stills are the team's top two receivers, with Albert Wilson, Jakeem Grant and now Amendola in the mix to help replace Jarvis Landry. Amendola has never finished a season better than No. 43 at the position in fantasy points, and he's unlikely to improve on that mark as a 32-year-old situational receiver in a below-average offense. He's no more than a late-round flier in deep PPR leagues.


Brown, John - BAL

Brown, John

Brown signed with the Ravens after four seasons in Arizona. The 2014 third-round pick has been an explosive playmaker at times but has also struggled with injuries related to a sickle cell trait that cost him seven games the past two seasons. Brown's best season came when he posted a 65-1,003-7 line and was fantasy's No. 25 wide receiver in 2015. In two seasons since, Brown has 60 receptions for 816 yards and five scores. He's only 28 years old, and playing time shouldn't be an issue with only Michael Crabtree clearly ahead of him on the depth chart. Brown's upside and opportunity are enough to make him a viable late-round flier in 2018 fantasy drafts.


Richardson, Paul - WAS

Richardson, Paul

Richardson signed a five-year, $40 million contract with Washington after spending the first four years of his career in Seattle. The 2014 second-round pick has overcome a lot, having torn his ACL in 2012 and during the 2014 playoffs before suffering a season-ending hamstring injury in 2015. Richardson set career-high marks in targets (80), receptions (44), yardage (703) and touchdowns (six) last season. A force deep downfield, Richardson's 14.9 aDOT was ninth in the league. At worst, Richardson will be Washington's No. 3 wide receiver, but his generous paycheck suggests he won't be short on opportunities. Draft Richardson late, and hope he works his way up a shaky depth chart.


NELSON, JORDY - OAK

NELSON, JORDY

Nelson is now with the Raiders after spending his first 10 NFL seasons with the Packers. Nelson wasn't a full-time player until 2013 but went on to finish in the top 10 at the position in receiving yards three of the next four seasons. He seemed well on his way to another huge campaign last season (WR6 in fantasy points after Week 6), but his production fell off a cliff when Aaron Rodgers went down because of a broken collarbone (WR82 from Week 7 on). Nelson is now 33 years old and no longer has Rodgers on the other end of the battery. Granted, he has minimal competition for targets, but Nelson's upside is limited, and he's now more of a flex in what is likely to be a run-first offense.


Robinson, Allen - CHI

Robinson, Allen

Robinson signed with the Bears following an up-and-down four-year tenure with Jacksonville. The 2014 second-round pick missed all of last season with a torn ACL but showed his massive upside with 80 receptions for 1,400 yards and a position-high 14 touchdowns in 2015, when he finished sixth in fantasy points. Robinson's production plummeted in 2016, though a lot of the dip can be traced to a bizarrely low connection rate on deep balls. Robinson is still only 24 years old, he has proved to be a reliable, high-volume target (at least 9.25 targets per game in 2015 and 2016), and he is clearly Mitchell Trubisky's top receiving option. Robinson is safest as a WR2 but has massive upside in an improving, pass-first offense.


Smith, Torrey - CAR

Smith, Torrey

Smith is entering his eighth NFL season and will be on his fourth different team. This time around, the 2011 second-round pick will need to fend off first-round pick D.J. Moore in order to lock down work opposite Devin Funchess in Carolina. Smith finished no worse than No. 31 at the position in fantasy points during his four seasons in Baltimore but has failed to post a season better than No. 54 since. Smith has never posted a catch rate better than 56 percent and has nine touchdowns over the past three seasons. Smith is well off the fantasy radar.


CRABTREE, MICHAEL - BAL

CRABTREE, MICHAEL

Crabtree signed with Baltimore after a three-year stint in Oakland, where he ranked eighth among wide receivers in targets (388) and fifth in touchdowns (25). Crabtree has racked up at least 15 end zone targets each of the past three seasons, and his total of 50 during that span ranks third in the entire NFL. Excluding weeks when he was inactive or injured, Crabtree has managed a target share of at least 21 percent in each of his nine NFL seasons. That includes at least 25 percent in each of his three seasons with Oakland. A number in that range figures to be his floor in Baltimore, considering the team's shaky group of offensive skill players. The 30-year-old possession receiver is a fringe WR3 target.


WALLACE, MIKE - PHI

WALLACE, MIKE

Wallace signed with the Eagles after a successful two-season tenure with Baltimore. Wallace missed only the second game of his career and finished 38th at wide receiver in fantasy points last season. That marks the second-worst fantasy finish of Wallace's career and only the second time in the past eight seasons that he finished worse than 25th. A rebound 2018 season is unlikely, however, as the 32-year-old receiver will be no higher than fourth in line for targets behind Alshon Jeffery, Zach Ertz and Nelson Agholor. The Eagles' high-scoring offense does make Wallace an intriguing handcuff, however, so consider him for a bench spot.


Patterson, Cordarrelle - NE

Patterson, Cordarrelle

Cordarrelle Patterson will try to revive his Fantasy value with the Patriots after he was traded to New England from Oakland in March. Patterson has never lived up to the lofty expectations given to him following his rookie campaign in 2013 when he had more than 600 total yards and seven touchdowns. He has struggled to be a consistent receiver but has done well as a return man for the Vikings and Raiders. With the Patriots, it could be more of the same since New England has a loaded receiving corps with Julian Edelman, Chris Hogan, Malcolm Mitchell, Kenny Britt, Jordan Matthews and Phillip Dorsett, and Patterson could be left out when it comes to getting consistent targets. Don't plan on drafting Patterson in the majority of leagues this year.


Grant, Ryan - IND

Grant, Ryan

Grant signed with the Colts after a four-year stint in Washington. A fifth-round pick back in 2015, Grant totaled 68 targets in his first three seasons before 'breaking out' with a 64-45-573-4 line last season. He was fantasy's No. 54 wide receiver. Grant is a limited athlete, is undersized (6-foot-1, 191 pounds) and has primarily operated as a short-area target. His 9.6 aDOT ranked 64th out of 84 qualified receivers, and his 70 percent catch rate was 13th last season. Grant has a shot at No. 2 duties behind T.Y. Hilton in a Colts' offense that has been very good when Andrew Luck has been healthy. Grant isn't exciting, but his landing spot makes him a fantasy sleeper.


Snead, Willie - BAL

Snead, Willie

Snead signed a two-year contract with Baltimore after falling out of favor in New Orleans. At this time last year, Snead had the look of a player about to make a big jump forward. Instead, he was suspended to begin the season, was demoted upon his return and ended up with only eight catches for 92 yards in 11 games. The fall was shocking for a player who posted a pair of top-34 fantasy campaigns during his first two full seasons in the league (2015-16). Snead has a chance to nail down slot duties in Baltimore's revamped offense and is thus a sleeper in PPR formats.


Cooks, Brandin - LAR

Cooks, Brandin

One year after being traded to New England, Cooks was shipped to the Rams during the offseason. The 24-year-old's 15.1 aDOT was sixth highest in the league last season, and he has finished seventh in yards per target each of the past two campaigns. Cooks has produced at least 1,000 receiving yards, seven touchdowns and a top-15 fantasy finish each of the past three seasons. The 2014 first-round pick is expected to replace Sammy Watkins as the top vertical option in an offense that ranked fifth in touchdowns and had three-plus receivers on the field an NFL-high 92 percent of its pass plays last season. As was the case for Watkins, Cooks' targets figures to dip, but he'll have plenty of big-play opportunities. He's best viewed as a WR3.


Wright, Kendall - MIN

Wright, Kendall

Wright changed teams again this offseason, this time landing a job as Minnesota's slot man. The 2012 first-round pick's best season came when he posted a terrific line of 138 targets, 94 catches, 1,079 yards and two TDs in 2013. He has struggled to recapture that magic since, missing 13 games to injury and failing to post a fantasy season better than 42nd. Wright got back on track a bit with a 90-59-614-1 line in Chicago last season, but his upside will always be limited by a lack of usage downfield (8.2 career aDOT) and near the goal line (17 end zone targets and 19 touchdowns in six seasons). He has some late-round PPR appeal in Minnesota's strong offense.


Wilson, Albert - MIA

Wilson, Albert

Wilson spent the first four seasons of his career as a situational receiver in Kansas City but managed to land a three-year, $24 million deal with Miami during the offseason. The former undrafted free agent posted a career-best 61-42-554-3 line in 2017 and is handling 3.5 targets per game in his career. Of course, Wilson is on the fantasy radar because he's the favorite to replace Jarvis Landry as Miami's primary slot man. Landry soaked up 9.5 targets per game in that role the past three seasons and, though Wilson is unlikely to match anything close to that, his hefty paycheck should assure him a significant workload. He's a fine WR5 target and should be downgraded in non-PPR formats.


Watkins, Sammy - KC

Watkins, Sammy

Watkins signed a three-year deal with the Chiefs after spending the first three seasons of his career as the top dog in Buffalo and 2017 as the Rams' No. 3 target. The 2014 fourth overall pick has flashed at times, but inconsistent production and injuries have limited him to a career-best fantasy finish of 20th. Watkins is only 24 years old and an extremely talented player, but he's switching offenses for the third time in three years, he'll need to fend off Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce and Kareem Hunt for targets in a low-volume offense, and Kansas City has an unknown at quarterback in Patrick Mahomes. There's some upside here for sure, but Watkins is best viewed as a flex.


Bryant, Martavis - OAK

Bryant, Martavis

Bryant was traded to Oakland during April's draft following a tumultuous tenure in Pittsburgh. Bryant, who was suspended for all of 2016, wasn't the same dominant player last season, struggling to find the end zone and produce after the catch, while averaging a career-worst 8.8 fantasy points per game. Bryant scored 14 touchdowns and handled 29 end zone targets during his first 21 NFL games but was limited to three scores and eight end zone targets in 15 games last season. Bryant files in behind Amari Cooper and Jordy Nelson on the depth chart in what figures to be a low-volume pass offense. Bryant has a high ceiling but is without a clear path to consistent targets. He's a boom/bust flex option.


Gabriel, Taylor - CHI

Gabriel, Taylor

Gabriel signed a four-year deal with the Bears after rejuvenating his career with Atlanta over the past two seasons. His best campaign came in 2016 when he was limited to 236 pass routes but still managed 36 receptions for 588 yards and six touchdowns. Gabriel has never been more than a situational player and, at 5-foot-8, 167 pounds, that doesn't figure to change in Chicago. He figures to settle in as the team's No. 3 receiver behind Allen Robinson and rookie Anthony Brown. Gabriel has been elite with the ball in his hands, averaging 6.5 yards after the catch (fourth-best) during his four seasons. He's worth only a flier in deep leagues.


Pryor, Terrelle - NYJ

Pryor, Terrelle

Pryor signed with the Jets after an ankle injury spoiled a one-year stint in Washington. The converted quarterback was limited to a 20-240-1 line in nine games. It was a big letdown after Pryor broke out in Cleveland in 2016 ' his first season as an every-down receiver. He racked up 135 targets (13th) at an average depth of 13.9 (11th), and 14 came while in the end zone (ninth). Only 17 receivers scored more fantasy points. Pryor, who turns 29 this year, is one of the game's biggest wideouts, at 6-foot-4, 223 pounds. He'll have competition for targets, and the Jets' quarterback situation is shaky, but Pryor's upside makes him a fine late-round target.


Landry, Jarvis - CLE

Landry, Jarvis

Landry was traded to Cleveland following a four-year stint with Miami, where he was targeted 563 times (sixth most in the NFL) and caught 400 passes (third). Primarily a short-area asset, Landry's career 6.28 aDOT is lowest among 45 receivers with 300-plus targets since he entered the league. The conservative role was more than offset by the heavy volume, allowing Landry a top-14 fantasy campaign each of the past three seasons. That included a fifth-place finish in 2017, which was fueled by a career-best nine touchdown receptions. Landry is unlikely to score that often or match the 9.4 targets per game he saw the past three seasons in Cleveland, but his role should still allow WR3 production.


Hurns, Allen - DAL

Hurns, Allen

Hurns is now with the Cowboys after spending the first four seasons of his career in Jacksonville. The 2014 undrafted free agent burst onto the NFL scene with 115 receptions for 1,708 yards and 16 touchdowns in 31 games during his first two seasons. Injuries have limited the former Miami Hurricane to 74 catches for 961 yards and five scores in 21 games over the past two campaigns. Hurns is going from one run-heavy offense to another but could emerge as Dak Prescott's top target with only Terrance Williams, Cole Beasley and rookie Michael Gallup as his primary competition. Hurns is in the flex mix and has WR2 upside.




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