-2025 NFL Schedule -Strength of Schedule
MOCK DRAFT
Ask the Commish.Com 2025 Draft Kit
Dynasty Outlook: The Jets' admiration for Smith was one of the more confusing things of the entire NFL Draft. Smith is a speedy field stretcher with big-time drop issues that ranked 126th in yards per route run and 249th in receiving grade last year (per PFF). None of that sounds like a player that should have been selected in the fourth round of the NFL Draft, but it happened. If you want to stash Smith on your taxi squad, be my guest, but I'll happily leave him on waiver wires.
Higgins got the capital I was hoping for as the fifth wide receiver selected in the NFL Draft at the top of the second round. Higgins should immediately file in as the starting outside receiver opposite Nico Collins. Higgins was an underrated player during the entire draft process after ranking 27th and 16th in yards per route run and first and 18th in receiving grade during his final two collegiate seasons (per PFF). The addition of Higgins and fellow former Iowa State wide receiver Jaylin Noel should push Christian Kirk while also hopefully fueling a big bounce-back season for C.J. Stroud. With Tank Dell likely out for the entire 2025 season, Higgins has a clear path to playing time and should be selected no later than the mid-second round of dynasty rookie drafts.
Jaylin Noel is one of the most exciting under-the-radar rookie wideouts in the 2025 class. The 5'10", 194-pound Iowa State product posted a 33% dominator rating in his final season and led the class in receiving yards on throws of 20+ air yards - despite suffering from some of the worst QB play. He's a vertical slot weapon with elite athleticism, punt return ability, and strong production alongside fellow Texans rookie Jayden Higgins. Houston snagged Noel in the third round (79th overall), and while he may open the season behind Christian Kirk, the opportunity is there. With Kirk's durability in question and Noel's explosive playmaking, don't be shocked if the rookie earns a major role down the stretch. Attached to C.J. Stroud in a high-powered offense, Noel is a sneaky late-round target.
Elic Ayomanor was drafted by the Titans in Round 4. The former Stanford standout brings a rare blend of size (6'2", 206), athleticism (4.4s speed, 82nd percentile jumps), and production - boasting the highest career dominator rating in the class (39%). Ayomanor posted 125 catches for 1,844 yards and 12 TDs across two seasons and flashed true X-receiver traits. In Tennessee, he lands in a WR room headlined by veterans Calvin Ridley and Tyler Lockett, presenting Ayomanor a realistic chance to rise the depth chart quickly and become Cam Ward's favorite rookie WR.
Pat Bryant's rookie ADP has surged since being selected in the third round by the Denver Broncos, but fantasy managers should approach with caution. The Illinois product was ranked well outside the top tiers of the class pre-draft, and the history of "mid-round reaches" at wide receiver offers more misses than hits. Bryant profiles as a size/speed possession receiver at 6-foot-3, 204 pounds, but he lacks standout athleticism - he ran a 4.61 40-yard dash and didn't break out until age 20. He recorded just one career game with double-digit targets and was actually out-targeted this past season by teammate Zakhari Franklin - who went undrafted. While some may latch onto the idea that Sean Payton sees a "Michael Thomas" archetype in Bryant, the underlying data suggests this is a bet on projection, not production.
The Lions traded up to select Arkansas wide receiver Isaac TeSlaa in Round 3 of the NFL Draft - a clear sign they were determined to get their guy. A 6-foot-4, 214-pound athletic marvel, TeSlaa tested in the 88th percentile or better in the vertical jump, broad jump, and 20-yard shuttle, while also flashing 4.43 speed. Despite modest counting stats in the SEC, he was extremely efficient. TeSlaa posted the fourth-highest passer rating when targeted (145.5) in the FBS last year and earned a perfect rating on targets of 20+ air yards - a testament to his big-play ability. While immediate target volume may be tough to come by in Detroit's loaded offense, he's one injury away from stepping into a sizable role.
Dynasty Outlook: The Vikings called Felton's name in the third round of the NFL Draft. Once he's up to speed, he should push Jalen Nailor for the team's starting slot receiver role. Felton was an outside receiver in college, but he'll need to move inside if he wants a shot at starting. There's no dispute that Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson, and the backfield will all be above him in the target pecking order if he does earn the starting job, so there's a limited ceiling here. Felton's analytical profile is worrisome as he didn't surpass 800 receiving yards or 1.90 yards per route run until his fourth and final season at Maryland (per PFF). That isn't the look of a typical profile that screams high upside receiver for fantasy football. Felton is a decent dart throw in the late third round or fourth round of rookie drafts. Just temper your expectations for him.
Dynasty Outlook: Despite my success with previous late-round wide receivers with the Rams, I don't have any interest in rostering Mumpfield in dynasty. He finished his collegiate career with only 1.71 yards per route run and 4.4 yards after the catch per reception. His 6.35 RAS score also doesn't help his case any.
Dynasty Outlook: Watkins was a receiving prospect that I got to late in the evaluation process, but I really liked him. In his final collegiate season, he ranked 36th in yards per route run and 41st in yards after the catch per reception (per PFF). He can play from the slot or on the perimeter, and he has an extensive history of both in college. He's a strong route runner with a varied release package. He could be the 2026 replacement for Jauan Jennings, who will be a free agent after this season. He's another late fourth-round pick or priority waiver pickup (taxi squad must).
Dynasty Outlook: Seattle called Horton's name in the fifth round of the NFL Draft. The big, galloping physical receiver could push Marquez Valdes-Scantling this season to be the WR3 for the passing attack. Horton has the raw talent to do so after posting 3.45 yards per route run last year (per PFF). He ranked 43rd and 22nd in the same statistical category in the two previous seasons. Horton is a triple-level threat with the play strength to break tackles (2023: 16th in missed tackles forced). Depending on how many rounds your rookie draft is, Horton enters consideration for dynasty squads in the fourth round, but you could also use a final round selection depending on how many rounds your draft covers.
Dynasty Outlook: Royals' draft capital outlook was unclear entering the NFL Draft. Coming from the small school of Utah State, having injuries impact his final season and his predraft process, and the common theme of people discussing this as a "down" wide receiver class were all factors that could push him down the board. I was hoping a team would fall in love with him and select him somewhere on Day 2, but it didn't happen. Royals did hear his name called in the fourth round of the draft by the Kansas City Chiefs. Royals will now have to sift through the muddled mess that is the Chiefs' wide receiver room. He's likely (at best) the team's WR4 this season if Xavier Worthy, Rashee Rice, and Hollywood Brown all stay healthy. He could easily find his way into the starting lineup if he can hop Juju Smith-Schuster on the depth chart and Rice misses any time recovering from injury (or suspension), or Brown is unable to stay healthy. Last year, Royals ranked 30th in yards per route run, and he averaged 166.5 receiving yards across his final four collegiate games (per PFF). He's a wonderful dart throw in dynasty rookie drafts in the third round.
Dynasty Outlook: The Bills drafted Prather in the seventh round. The Bills' pass-catching committee approach isn't something I want to invest in. It's too tough to determine where the targets are going on a weekly basis in this passing attack. That's even assuming that Prather could crack the team's starting lineup. Last year, Prather ranked 240th in yards per route run and 222nd in receiving grade (per PFF).
Dominic Lovett selected No. 244 overall by Detroit LionsThe Detroit Lions selected WR Dominic Lovett with the No. 244 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. Lovett totaled 607 yards and six touchdowns on 59 receptions in his final season at Georgia. He will have the opportunity to compete for a depth role among the Lions wide receiver room.
The Detroit Lions selected WR Dominic Lovett with the No. 244 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft.
Lovett totaled 607 yards and six touchdowns on 59 receptions in his final season at Georgia. He will have the opportunity to compete for a depth role among the Lions wide receiver room.
Dynasty Outlook: Wester landed with the Baltimore Ravens via the sixth round of the NFL Draft. He could earn the backup slot role if he has a strong camp, but for a team that loves 12 and 21 personnel, that role has a very limited ceiling, as Nelson Agholor and Devin Duvernay before him can attest to. Wester failed to surpass 2.0 yards per route run in four of his five collegiate seasons (per PFF). When you combine the situation, analytical profile, and lack of draft capital, Wester is a player best left on dynasty waiver wires.
Dynasty Outlook: Before the Titans added Elic Ayomanor in the fourth round of the NFL Draft, they drafted Dike with the first pick of the round. Dike will compete with Van Jefferson and Ayomanor for the WR3 role in this offense in 2025. Dike is a speedy downfield option (13.6 collegiate aDOT) with drop issues (10.9% collegiate drop rate). He could earn the WR3/field stretching role for the team this season, but I have a hard time seeing him ever become a high-volume target. He's taxi squad material.
Jaylin Lane enters the NFL as a fourth-round pick by the Washington Commanders, initially expected to make his mark as the team's starting punt returner. But don't rule out a larger offensive role. With Terry McLaurin in the final year of his contract and Deebo Samuel on a one-year deal with an extensive injury history, Lane has a realistic path to becoming the starting slot receiver in Washington - especially with last year's third-round pick Luke McCaffrey failing to impress. Lane is a dynamic playmaker and elite athlete. Measuring in at 5-foot-10, 191 pounds, he ran a sub-4.4 40, jumped at least 11'0″ in the broad, and cleared 40″ in the vertical, making him one of just eight WRs to hit all three athletic benchmarks since 2003. He ranked 4th in the 2025 class in YAC per reception (8.5) and has over 100 career kick/punt returns, reinforcing his playmaking ability in space.
Dynasty Outlook: The Packers added another piece to their already complicated wide receiver room with the selection of Savion Williams in the third round of the NFL Draft. Green Bay looks to continue their wide receiver by committee by approach. Williams is a jack of all trades and master of none, and Matt LaFleur will have fun deploying while fantasy gamers will want to pull their hair out. Williams looks like the WR4 (at best) on the Packers' depth chart, with some duplicity in his possible usage with Jayden Reed. Williams could be LaFleur's version of Deebo Samuel in Green Bay. Last year, he ranked 22nd in missed tackles forced and piled up 322 rushing yards (six rushing scores). Williams is yet another fourth-round/taxi squad addition that could pay off handsomely if everything swings in his direction.
Tommy Mellott shines in Raiders OTA sessionTommy Mellott, a sixth-round rookie, impressed at Raiders OTAs, outmaneuvering Darnay Holmes on a route and catching a pass from Geno Smith, per team reports. The converted quarterback joins Dont’e Thornton and Jack Bech, challenging Tre Tucker’s role.Mellott’s 6-foot frame and OTA performance hint at WR5 potential, but he trails Tre Tucker, Dont’e Thornton, and Jack Bech in a crowded Raiders room. His slot work and return duties limit his 2025 redraft value to minimal snaps. He’s a dynasty flier with special teams upside.
Tommy Mellott, a sixth-round rookie, impressed at Raiders OTAs, outmaneuvering Darnay Holmes on a route and catching a pass from Geno Smith, per team reports. The converted quarterback joins Dont’e Thornton and Jack Bech, challenging Tre Tucker’s role.
Mellott’s 6-foot frame and OTA performance hint at WR5 potential, but he trails Tre Tucker, Dont’e Thornton, and Jack Bech in a crowded Raiders room. His slot work and return duties limit his 2025 redraft value to minimal snaps. He’s a dynasty flier with special teams upside.
KeAndre Lambert-Smith quietly put together one of the most underrated profiles in the 2025 rookie WR class. After four years at Penn State, he transferred to Auburn and broke out in a big way, posting a 31% dominator rating with a 50-981-8 receiving line. It's rare to see a player switch to the SEC and immediately produce, but Lambert-Smith finished top-5 in the conference in total receiving yards and averaged nearly 20 yards per catch. Drafted in the 5th round by the Chargers, Lambert-Smith lands in a favorable spot as a downfield weapon for Justin Herbert.
Dynasty Outlook: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are apparently hoarding slot receivers after adding Emeka Egbuka and Tez Johnson to their wide receiver depth chart alongside Chris Godwin, Sterling Shepard, Rakim Jarrett, and Trey Palmer. The Bucs selected Johnson in the seventh round. I'll let others pick up Johnson on waivers. With this size, rough draft capital, and underwhelming athletic testing, Johnson will be the outlier of all outliers if he turns into a consistent fantasy producer. This isn't the type of profile to chase for dynasty fantasy football purposes.
The Jaguars made a bold move by trading up to No. 2 overall to land two-way star Travis Hunter - and all signs point to him being a full-time offensive weapon. Jacksonville enters 2025 with the sixth-most vacated targets and a clear need to reload its receiving corps. Paired with Brian Thomas Jr. and Trevor Lawrence, Hunter has a real shot to earn immediate volume. At Colorado, he posted a 35% dominator rating with nearly 1,300 yards and 15 TDs - primarily as an outside receiver with elite efficiency (79% catch rate, 10+ ADOT). If he's featured early on offense, Hunter has explosive upside in both real life and fantasy.
Tre Harris lands in a near-perfect depth chart situation with the Chargers, where he'll compete for immediate playing time in a wide-open WR room behind Ladd McConkey. The former Ole Miss standout is a physical, aggressive receiver who fits the gritty mold Jim Harbaugh covets. Harris erupted in 2024, leading the FBS in receiving yards through seven weeks and posting a staggering 5.12 yards per route run - the highest in college football. With LA ranking 7th in available targets and Harris chomping at the bit to leapfrog Quentin Johnston, he could easily step into the Josh Palmer role (and then some). If he stays healthy, 700-800 yards and/or 100 targets in Year 1 is well within reach. He's a high-upside target tied to Justin Herbert if he earns the No. 2 WR job.
The Packers made a forward-thinking move by drafting Matthew Golden in Round 1, adding speed (4.29 40-yard dash) and depth to a wide receiver room full of question marks. With Christian Watson's injury history and Romeo Doubs in a contract year following multiple concussions, Golden brings much-needed insurance, but he may not be fantasy-relevant right away. Despite a productive final season at Texas, Golden never topped 1,000 yards or posted a high dominator rating in college, and he enters a crowded WR committee in a scheme that avoids funneling targets to one player. Golden's likely to have splash plays and spike weeks, but consistent volume may be elusive unless injuries strike.
The Bears selected Luther Burden 39th overall in the 2025 NFL Draft, and he profiles as an ideal fit for Ben Johnson's slot-centric offense. Burden broke out as a true freshman and dominated at Missouri as a sophomore in 2023 with 1,209 yards and 9 touchdowns operating primarily out of the slot (85%+ of snaps). He's electric after the catch - forcing 79 missed tackles on 225 touches (35% rate) - and thrives on short-area touches. While he may not command elite volume right away in Chicago, expect schemed touches and playmaking opportunities in Year 1. If the Bears use him creatively, Burden could carve out instant fantasy relevance as a high-upside rookie slot weapon.
Jack Bech was one of the most efficient receivers in the 2025 class, leading all rookies in expected points added (EPA) per target - a clear sign that good things happened when the ball was in his hands at TCU. The Raiders took notice, selecting him 58th overall and giving him solid Day 2 draft capital that cements his status as a top-tier rookie WR for fantasy. Bech posted a 28% dominator rating in 2024 and impressed at the Senior Bowl, helping shake the "one-year wonder" label that stems more from circumstance than ability - he began his career at LSU competing with Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. With Jakobi Meyers in a contract year and little depth behind him, Bech has a real opportunity to carve out a meaningful role early.
Tetairoa McMillan lands in an ideal situation to emerge as the alpha wideout in Carolina. Drafted with top-10 capital (8th overall) the former Arizona star joins a Panthers offense in need of a true WR1. McMillan brings size, production and opportunity to a WR room featuring an underwhelming Xavier Legette and a promising but undrafted Jalen Coker. T-Mac was just one of 3 WRs in the FBS in 2023 to hit 1,396 yards, 10 TDs, and 89 receptions. The others being fellow top-10 WR draft selections: Malik Nabers and Rome Odunze. If Bryce Young takes even a modest step forward and continues to fuel fantasy success for his No. 1 target, McMillan could be this year's breakout rookie receiver.
Emeka Egbuka lands in a crowded but intriguing spot in Tampa Bay after being selected 19th overall - a clear sign the Bucs believe in his long-term upside, even with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin still on the roster. A polished, reliable slot weapon, Egbuka became Ohio State's all-time receptions leader and broke out as a sophomore after replacing Jaxon Smith-Njigba in 2022. While he never truly operated as "the guy" in college, his consistent production alongside NFL-level talent speaks volumes. In the short term, target competition limits his redraft appeal, especially with Jalen McMillan also in the mix. But with both Evans and Godwin over 29 and dealing with durability concerns, Egbuka is one injury away from a clear path to fantasy relevance.