-2024 NFL Schedule -Strength of Schedule
MOCK DRAFT
Ask the Commish.Com 2024 Draft Kit
If Joe Burrow gets a full season of good health in 2024, he'll likely be one of the more valuable fantasy assets at the QB position. The 2023 season was a frustrating one for Burrow, who got off to a slow start due in part to a calf injury he sustained in training camp, then went on injured reserve in mid-November with a wrist injury. Four games into the 2023 season, with his ailing calf clearly hindering his mobility and perhaps his throwing mechanics, Burrow was QB31 in fantasy scoring averaging 8.4 fantasy points per game. Then he caught fire, averaging 296.0 yards and 2.4 TD passes over a five-game stretch from Week 5 to Week 10 in which he was QB4 in fantasy points per game. That's the Burrow we hope to see in 2024 if his health cooperates. He'll once again get to work with his longtime LSU and Bengals teammate Ja'Marr Chase, one of the finest wide receivers in the game, not to mention high-quality No. 2 receiver Tee Higgins.
Justin Herbert's 2023 season ended after 13 games due to a broken index finger on his throwing hand. Before the injury, he had been providing fantasy managers with low-end QB1 value. Herbert's yearly finishes in fantasy points per game among quarterbacks (six starts minimum): QB7, QB2, QB15, QB10. It would be nice if Herbert could get back to the production level of his first two years in the league. Over the 2020 and 2021 seasons, Herbert averaged 292.2 passing yards, 2.2 TD passes and 23.1 fantasy points per game. Over the last two seasons, he's averaged 262.4 passing yards, 1.5 TD passes and 17.7 fantasy points per game. Herbert has exceptional arm talent and rushing upside, but the Chargers will presumably be run-heavy with new head coach Jim Harbaugh in charge and offensive coordinator Greg Roman calling the plays, potentially capping Herbert's fantasy upside.
Fantasy managers were hoping to see Trevor Lawrence take a major step forward in 2023 after a promising 2022 season. Much of Lawrence's third NFL season was a disappointment in that regard, but a strong finish raises hopes for 2024. Over the first 10 weeks of the 2023 season, Lawrence was QB19 in fantasy points per game among quarterbacks with at least four starts, averaging 235.6 passing yards and 1.0 TD passes per game. From Week 11 on, Lawrence was QB7 in fantasy points per game, averaging 270.9 passing yards and 1.7 TD passes a game. The former No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft was able to ramp up his production late in the year despite losing WR Christian Kirk to a core injury that kept him out of the last five games of the season. Lawrence has a fabulous toolkit that includes abundant arm talent and above-average rushing ability. Consistency is the missing ingredient, and we are not sure that this will ever be a part of Lawrence's game.
Wilson must first beat out Justin Fields for the Steelers starting quarterback job this preseason before having any relevance in Fantasy. The one-time stud has failed to average even 21 Fantasy points per game in each of his past three seasons with a total of 13 outings of 24-plus points in that span. And while he was quite efficient in 2023 with a 66.4% completion rate and a touchdown throw every 17.2 attempts, the Steelers figure to remain run-leaning under new playcaller Arthur Smith, who ranked in the bottom eight in pass attempts per game in each of his past two seasons in Atlanta and four of his five seasons as an offensive coordinator. Wilson's a longshot to ever again put up the numbers he once did, and his playing time is far from guaranteed. That's why Wilson should be avoided in one-QB leagues and isn't even a priority in two-QB formats.
The Jets traded for Aaron Rodgers in 2023 in the hopes that he'd be the solution to their QB problems. Those hopes were dashed on Rodgers' fourth offensive snap with his new team, as he tore his Achilles when he was sacked by the Bills' Leonard Floyd. Rodgers will eventually be enshrined in the Pro Football Hall of Fame, but will he still be able to play at something close to a Hall-of-Fame level this season at age 40? Rodgers experienced some statistical slippage in his final season with the Packers in 2022, and now he's coming off a major injury. Two other reasons for concern about Rodgers 2024 fantasy output: (1) The Jets are likely to play at a slow offensive pace under offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, as was the case when Rodgers and Hackett were paired together in Green Bay, and (2) the Jets have a terrific defense, so Rodgers probably isn't going to be involved in a lot of high-scoring shootouts. Don't overpay for the brand name.