-2025 NFL Schedule -Strength of Schedule
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Ask the Commish.Com 2025 Draft Kit
Taylor posted another RB1 season (RB7 in fantasy points per game) while dealing with a high ankle sprain. He racked up 321 touches and 1,567 total yards with 12 scores. While I think Taylor should post another top 12 season in 2025, I do have some concerns. The quarterback play for Indy is a worry with how often they could be in the red zone this year, as well as his lack of pass-game involvement. Last year, Taylor ranked sixth in red zone touches. I don't know if he comes close to that number this season, but I could easily be wrong. I don't see more check-down opportunities for Taylor this season with Daniel Jones or Anthony Richardson under center. It's not like he's demanding those looks either, with his per-route performance in 2024, anyway. Last year, among 45 qualifying backs, Taylor ranked 37th in target share (7.4%) and 43rd in yards per route run and first downs per route run. Taylor is a solid pick again this year, but I struggle to see a ceiling outcome for him in 2025.
Hubbard blew away everyone's expectations last year as the RB13 in fantasy points per game. He was the Panther's everydown workhorse and is primed to roll back into that job this year. Last season, he ranked third in snap share, fourth in opportunity share, 12th in weighted opportunities, and 14th in red zone touches. If Carolina's offense can improve in 2025, the red zone numbers should climb. In 2024, Carolina ranked 24th in yards per play and 21st in red zone scoring attempts per game. The addition of Tetairoa McMillan, the continued development of Xavier Legette and Jalen Coker, and the ascension of Bryce Young should improve those numbers. Hubbard has the talent and projected workload to crack the top ten backs in 2025. Last year, he ranked 11th in explosive run rate and seventh in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data).
Last year was the first season for Conner since 2021 that he'd played more than 13 games. He finished as the RB15 in fantasy points per game, racking up 283 touches and 1508 total yards (nine scores). Conner didn't look like he was slowing down at all, so I don't see him relinquishing his workhorse in 2025. Assuming he can remain healthy again this season, Conner is set to smash. Last year, he was second in missed tackles forced per attempt, 11th in yards after contact per attempt, and sixth in explosive run rate (per Fantasy Points Data). He also retained his passing game excellence, sitting sixth in yards per route run and seventh in receiving yards per game. Conner could be a wonderful value in fantasy football again in 2025.
Well, in 2024, Cook finally answered the question, "What could happen if Cook could score more than two rushing touchdowns in a season?" After back-to-back seasons with only two rushing scores, Buffalo loaded him with the seventh-most carries for a back inside the ten-yard line, and Cook responded with 16 rushing touchdowns (18 total touchdowns) as he finished as the RB11 in fantasy points per game. If Cook's prodigious touchdown scoring doesn't continue in 2025, he could be a letdown. He was the RB26 in expected fantasy points per game last year. The Bills still seemed hesitant to increase his volume, with only 239 touches and four games with at least 20 touches. Now, I will say Buffalo will remain one of the best offenses in the NFL, so Cook could easily post 15-plus scores again in 2025. Last year, among 46 qualifying backs, Cook ranked 20th in explosive run rate, 11th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 24th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). He should be a top-15 back this season with strong RB1 upside again.
Aaron Glenn has stated this offseason that the Jets could operate with more of a committee approach for the backfield for the 2025 season. That's definitely a worry for Hall, but he remains the most talented back in that room. If this is an equal competition for work based on talent alone, Hall should still be the unquestioned lead back in New York. Last year, Hall was the RB17 in fantasy points per game, ranking eighth in snap share, 15th in opportunity share, and tenth in weighted opportunity. Hall produced adequately on a per-touch basis last year, ranking 15th in explosive run rate, 16th in yards after contact per attempt, fifth in receiving yards per game, and 16th in yards per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Hall should be a solid RB2 this season, even if he is ceding a little more work to Braelon Allen or Isaiah Davis.
Last year, Williams pulled off his best yesteryear Rachaad White or Leonard Fournette impression. A volume gobbling inefficient back who turned in an RB1 season (RB10). Williams ranked first in snap share, second in opportunity share, and first in red zone touches. Williams had 350 touches and 1,481 total yards. With all that said, Williams was one of the most inefficient per touch backs in the NFL. Among 46 qualifying backs, he ranked 44th in explosive run rate, 37th in missed tackle rate, and 40th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Williams could retain his stranglehold on the volume again in a contract year, but it's also possible that Blake Corum or Jarquez Hunter could eat into his workload. Williams is a top 15-20 running back who could easily be an RB1 again or see his stock come crashing down.
Achane continued his strong RB1 ways last year as the RB6 in fantasy points per game. In his 16 full games played, he averaged 17.3 touches and 92.6 total yards. His otherwordly per-touch efficiency didn't hold up last year, but that doesn't mean he was bad. Among 46 qualifying backs, he was 19th in explosive run rate and missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). He was a stud in the passing game, sitting at ninth in yards per route run and second in target share and receiving yards per game. I have plenty of questions about the Dolphins for 2025, but Achane isn't one of them. He should continue to post RB1 numbers in 2025.
Brown was Cincy's CMC last year after he took over the starting job. In Weeks 9-17, he averaged 23.7 touches and 116.3 total yards as the RB4 in fantasy points per game. He played at least 79% of the snaps in every game while ranking second in receiving yards per game, sixth in target share (12.5%), and tenth in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). As good as Brown was, I do have some small worries about his per-touch efficiency. Among 46 qualifying backs, he was 25th in explosive run rate, 26th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 33rd in yards after contact per attempt. None of those numbers scream "ELITE PLAYER!" That doesn't mean that Brown can't continue to crush in fantasy in 2025 as Cincy's do it all back, but the inefficiency does create an avenue for another back to step up and siphon off work. I don't know if Zack Moss or Samaje Perine are up to the task, but maybe Tahj Brooks could. We'll see how camp plays out for Brown, but right now he looks like a rock solid RB1.
Well, the Bears didn't add any threat to Swift's workload before they selected Kyle Monangai in the seventh round of the NFL Draft. Monangai is more of a worry for Roschon Johnson and his standing as RB2 on the depth chart than Swift's. Last year, Swift was the RB21 in fantasy points per game as he soaked up volume. He ranked tenth in snap share, seventh in opportunity share, tenth in carries, and 15th in targets among backs. Swift was inefficient every step of the way, ranking outside the top 32 running backs in explosive run rate, yards after contact per attempt, missed tackles forced per attempt, and yards per touch. Swift looks primed for another volume RB2 season in 2025 behind a reworked offensive line and with Ben Johnson at the helm.
Hampton lands with the Bolts after hearing his name called in the first round of the NFL Draft. The only uncertainty around Hampton's 2025 outlook is the division of the workload between him and Najee Harris. Harris has been a steady but uninspiring backfield option over the last few years. This could impede Hampton's initial take-off, but drafting Hampton is a bet on his talent and draft capital taking over as time rolls on. Across his final two collegiate seasons, Hampton ranked 12th and 11th in yards after contact per attempt and 16th and 26th in elusive rating (per PFF). There should be plenty of rushing volume to go around, even if Harris hangs around in a supporting role. In Greg Roman's 11 years of coordinating NFL offenses, he's never finished lower than 11th in rushing attempts (last year). Hampton is best viewed as a borderline RB2 with some risk that could massively outplay his ADP if things break right.
Raheem Mostert lands with the Raiders as Ashton Jeanty's backup. Jeanty should be the team's clear bell-cow, with Mostert only offering some change of pace carrries weekly. Mostert looked like a player on his last NFL legs last season, with only a 14% missed tackle rate and 1.76 yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). He's a deep league/final-round handcuff pick only.
Last year, Rachaad White lost his bell-cow role with Bucky Iriving asserting himself and taking over the backfield. It wasn't all doom and gloom for White, though. In Weeks 10-17, he still averaged 13.5 touches and 68.4 total yards as the RB18 in fantasy points per game. While I don't think that he will continue to rock along as an RB2 in 2025, he could easily retain RB3/flex value in one of the best offenses in the NFL. Last year, White did see his efficiency tick up with the decrease in workload, as he ranked 29th in missed tackles forced per attempt, 15th in yards after contact per attempt, and 18th in yards per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). White could easily be Tampa Bay's version of Jaylen Warren.
Montgomery remained the Lions' early down hammer and preferred goal-line option last year when healthy. Before he was sidelined in the back half of the 2024 season with a knee injury (Weeks 1-14), he was the RB11 in fantasy points per game, averaging 16.3 touches per game and 83.1 total yards. Last year, he ranked 17th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 25th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). When healthy, he dominated the inside the ten-yard line work with 33 carries to Jahmyr Gibbs' 16. It's wonderful to be the goal-line king in an offense that led the NFL in points per game and red zone scoring opportunities per game last year. While Ben Johnson's departure will have an impact on Detroit, this offense should still sit somewhere in the top 5-10 scoring offenses in the NFL. Montgomery is best viewed as a solid RB2 with obvious RB1 upside if he continues to spike touchdowns at a ridiculous rate.