Often in life we are faced with perplexing,
confounding dilemmas. Paper or plastic? Boxers
or briefs? Chocolate or vanilla? This year, a
new quagmire is presented to fantasy football
managers around the country: Kevin or Julius?
Both running backs should play key roles in
their respective offenses. Both running backs
are young, talented, and looking for their
breakout year. But the similarities don’t stop
there. Both were drafted in 2004, both were born
in August, and both have remarkably similar
facial hair! But I digress . . .
In most drafts, both players are taken in the
second round, with Julius usually preceding
Kevin by one or two picks. In order to decide
which one you should take, it helps to look at
their differences instead of their many
aforementioned similarities. Kevin Jones played
well throughout last season, rushing for 1,133
yards and 5 touchdowns, averaging 4.7 yards per
carry. While Julius Jones only played the last
eight games of the year, he rushed for 819 yards
and 7 touchdowns, averaging 4.2 yards per carry.
Since both are expected to play every game this
year, Julius’ average of 100+ yards per game
would make him the better pick, right?
Wrong. Last year, Julius averaged 25 carries per
game. This was largely due to the Cowboys
struggling passing game, as the senior-citizen
Vinny Testaverde was behind center. But this
year, the acquisition of Drew Bledsoe should
greatly decrease Julius’ carries. Detroit, on
the other hand, has an equally shaky passing
game as they did last year, and will have to
rely on Kevin more than ever if they want to
produce on offense. Their three stud wide
receivers (Roy Williams, Mike Williams, and
Charles Rogers) will help spread the defense,
but at the same time too many passing plays
won’t be called with trigger happy Joey
Harrington taking snaps.
So assuming that Kevin gets an equal amount if
not more carries than Julius does, Kevin now
becomes the better draft pick. He averaged .5
more yards per carry last year than Julius, and
quietly put up a stellar performance at the end
of last year as well. Furthermore, I see Julius
as a bit of a gamble, considering that we have
not seen what effects playing an entire season
will have on his barely 200 – pound frame,
whereas Kevin played 15 games last year and
showed he could take a bruising.
Bottom line: Both running backs are great
players and a good acquisition for any fantasy
team, but Kevin is just the safer bet. He should
go before Julius.
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