Chris Brown's fragility over the past two
seasons has been a constant source of
frustration for fantasy owners. After playing in
only 11 games each of the past two years, Brown
broke a bone in his hand during Titans mini-camp
this summer. He is expected to be back in the
lineup when the Titans start the preseason. When
available, Brown is an explosive perimeter
runner capable of going the distance on any
play. Brown even led the league in yards per carry in
2004.
Based on the team's recent acquisition of
formerly disgruntled Bills RB Travis Henry, it is
clear that the
Titans' brass was growing tired of Brown's
inability to stay healthy. Now with one year left
on his deal, and Travis Henry signing a 4 year
contract extension with Tennessee, fantasy owners
are left to wonder what the future will hold for
these two former 1,000 yard backs.
Comments from team officials indicate that
the "running back by committee" (RBBC) approach will
likely be used. Coach Jeff Fisher said last
week that he "wouldn't be suprised" if Henry and
Brown each got around 200 carries this season.
GM Floyd Reese upon signing Henry, basically said that a lot will be asked of both backs in Norm Chow's
new offense.
Now let's examine the situation a little more
closely. Notice that Chris Brown was possibly the most ineffective
back in the NFL last situation in short yardage
situations. Third and fourth and one turned
into play action territory late last year after
weeks of Brown coming up short on the ground. With Henry's
ability to pound the ball between the tackles
and earn the tough yards, you will likely see him on the
field in short yardage and goal line
situations. Brown will be used more between the
twenty's and in the passing game. Henry,
however will likely outpace Brown's touchdown
totals.
Look for Brown to hit the occasional home
run, like he did twice versus Green
Bay on Monday Night last season. However,
his
inconsistency in short yardage, inopportune
fumbles, and inability to stay healthy will
likely make Henry the better fantasy bet this
season. I look for Brown to finish with around
750 yards rushing and 7 touchdowns in around 12
games, while Henry will play 15 games with 650
yards and 12 touchdowns. Those factors, coupled
with the organizations long term commitment to
Henry, should make him the better choice.