A "Deep Sleeper" is a player that may find themselves buried
on an NFL depth chart, they may be snatched in the last few rounds of
a fantasy draft, they may go un-drafted, or are completely unheard
of in most fantasy football circles. They are often
considered reaches in the truest sense of the word and are
players that manage to find their way to the spot light at
some point. These players often propel marginal
fantasy football teams into the playoffs and some, like
Mike Anderson, Willie Parker, or Joey Galloway, can actually help win a championship for the
owner lucky enough to draft him or snatch him from
the waiver wire.
Some
examples of Deep Sleepers from last year, along with their
fantasy rank, are as follows:
Pos
Rank
Player
Rank
Player
QB
13
Vince Young (TEN)
16
Tony Romo (DAL)
RB
7
M. Jones-Drew (JAC)
15
Ladell Betts (WAS)
WR
14
Marques Colston (NO )
16
Mike Furrey (DET )
TE
13
Owen Daniels (HOU)
1
PK Robbie Gould (CHI)
Learn
who could be in the 2005 Deep Sleeper class:
David Carr - Carolina Panthers
The former #1 pick had a 68.3% completion percentage last season with no running game and a poor line. Now he is a back up on a team with a good offensive line and better talent. Being that Jake Delhomme had a very subpar year last seaso, David Carr was brought in for a reaso. Even though Delhomme is the opening day starter, he will be on a short leash. A lot of people are wondering what Carr can do when he has more than .2 seconds to throw the ball, and if he lives up to what many think, he could be a very valuable late season addition. -Mark Cacko and Richard Zigweid
Daunte Culpepper - Oakland Raiders In 2006, Daunte Culpepper , in 4 games of action, Culpepper completed 81 of 134 pass attempts for 929 yards. He threw 2 TD passes and 3 interceptions. He also rushed for a meager 20 yards and 1 TD. He just wasn't healthy last year and made poor decisions. In fact, he held onto the ball so long that he took 21 sacks in just 4 games. You can't fault the offensive line alone as Harrington only took 15 sacks in about 9 games last year.
After besting 40 total TDs and leading the NFL in passing yards in 2004, Culpepper has seen some hard times. No one could have guessed that Culpepper would be as injury and turnover prone as he would become the next two years. In 2005 in just seven starts -- actually in just a lit over six appearances, considering that he got knocked out for the season in the first half of his seventh start -- Culpepper threw 12 interceptions and added 3 lost fumbles on top of that. That is a total of 15 turnovers in a little over 6 games. Then when you factor in his INTs from last year, Culpepper has thrown 15 INTs in his last 10.5 games. When you consider that Culpepper has been a turnover machine, that he will likely never be fully healthy again, that he has a poor OL, an unsettled RB situation, and an unsettled WR situation, we can't really condone drafting him right now. In our eyes, he's no better than a #3 fantasy QB. And, if you do call his name on draft day, don't think that you have the world's best fantasy heist by having him as your third QB, but he has potential to post solid backup fantasy QB stats. I'd much rather have him than Frye, Huard, or Tarvaris Jackson. -Al Lackner
Rex Grossman - Chicago Bears
Will the real Rex Grossman please stand up! When I think about this guy only one question in entering my mind: Where's the love? Grossman was excellent in the first five games last year and had another four great games later on. Granted, he probably killed your fantasy team with his 0 TDs , 4 Interceptions and 2 lost fumbles against the Cardinals or with his 3 interceptions games against the Patriots, Vikings and the Packers. You need to look at the glass as half full. The most important thing to remember is that Grossman actually led his team to the Super Bowl and it was his first full season as a starter, so of course he'll be inconsistent. This year, a more experienced Grossman could mean a more consistent production for your fantasy team. -Jesse Abraham
Joey Harrington - Atlanta Falcons It's still hard to believe that Joey Harrington was once the #3 overall selection in the NFL Draft. And, we're not talking all THAT long ago: 2002. After four seasons, the Lions decided to part ways with him, and the Dolphins managed to pry him away for a measley 6th round draft pick. That experiment ended quickly as he struggled with his accuracy only completing 57.5% of his passes and throwing 15 INTs in 11 starts. We know, the completion percentage is great compared to Vick's 52.5%, but that completion percentage doesn't translate into winning many games in the NFL or in fantasy football. Interestingly, Harrington hasn't exactly been a bust in the same vein as, say, a Heath Shuler or a Ryan Leaf. He's actually been the very symbol of mediocrity with a career 55 completion percentage and a roughly 1-1 TD-to-interception ratio.
Make no mistake about it: the Falcons brought him in to backup Vick. Of course, given questions about Vick's legal issues, it appears that Harrington will be thrust into the starting lineup. With that said, he should remain a symbol of mediocrity. Even with an offensive guru the likes of Bobby Petrino running the show in Atlanta , we just can't see Harrington improving much this year. Furthermore, he likely won't account for more than about a dozen (or two yards) rushing. At this point Harrington's draft value is that of a #3 fantasy QB, but he could post stats commiserate with a backup fantasy QB.
-Paul Baitinger
Cleo Lemon - Miami Dolphins
Trent Green is likely one good hit away from retirement. Considering rookie John Beck is not ready to take over the helm, backup QB Cleo Lemon may be thrust into the Miami starting lineup this season. He has all the tools to be a solid QB (including a very marketable name), but has never been given the opportunity. Furthermore, being that Cleo was battling Trent Green for the right to start for the Dolphins, he is overcoming the odds already. Miami didn't go through all the off season soap opera with Green to make him a backup, so unless a miracle happens Green will win the job. The reason you want Cleo on your team is because we have no faith that Green will finish the season healthy. The Dolphins have the makings of a solid offense so when Cleo gets the chance to play he should put up some solid numbers. -Trent DeGrazia and Bryan Hughes
Michael Bennett - Kansas City Chiefs
Bennett is the great unknown on the Chief RB depth chart right now. LJ was in the middle of an ugly hold out, but has finally signed. His workload the last couple of years has been too high. Then you have Priest Holmes who is attempting a come back but no matter what is said “officially” I thought it was a ploy to get LJ back in camp and would be very surprised if Priest ever suited up for a regular season game again. This leaves Bennett who was once a first round draft pick with sprinter speed he had potential. If he gets the chance again, who knows what he can do? In my opinion the risk/reward is in your favor, take him with your last pick and hope he gets a shot. If not, then perhaps he's a great handcuff for LJ owners.-Trent DeGrazia
Chris Brown - Tennessee Titans
If he wasn't so fragile Christina would have been a superstar by now. Remember the 2004 season when Brown left almost every game at half time due to an injury but still managed to get you a 100 yards game? That was insane.
Brown is back in Tennessee and apparently healthy. That means that he has the chance to put up respectable numbers. His competition? Overweight and inexperienced. Look for him to get many more carries early on, then sell high. -Jesse Abraham and Tim DiRocco
Tony Hunt - Philadelphia Eagles The Eagles are one of the main proponents of the whole RBBC thing. Since Brian Westbrook is so unconventional in that he's as much of a receiving threat as he is a rushing threat -- it is understandable why Andy Reid is always looking to keep Westbrook's carries in the under-20-per-game range. Tony Hunt , who turned up so big in the Senior Bowl, will certainly have the opportunity to pick up some of the load -- and (this is the part where you should be paying attention) the young power back should get some opportunities around the goal line. -Al Lackner
Adrian Peterson - Chicago Bears
Cedric Benson will be given every opportunity to carry the load in Chicago, however, if he shows signs of struggling early on, the “other” Adrian Peterson may get a shot. Peterson, a 6-year veteran, tallied an impressive 5.1 YPC average on 76 carries in 2005 and is the clear-cut #2 back in Chicago. -Paul Baitinger and Bryan Hughes
LenDale White - Tennessee Titans In limited action, White actually had 300 total yards with 4.0 yards per rush average. But he has a poor work ethic and appears to be overweight. He may be able to play at a bigger size like Jerome Bettis once did and be effective, but he was looking to be a disappointment like former USC standout Mike Williams.
He was definitely in Jeff Fisher's dog house and being that the Titans re-signed Chris Brown and drafted Chris Henry, it appeared that White was at the bottom of the depth chart. With that said, White is still somehow in the mix for a starting role and he has slimmed down and started to look much better. He absolutely looked great against the Bills in preseason game 3. He might have the inside track on the starting job and figures to see goal line carries . If he continues to look like he did in his preseason week 3 game, then he'll probably take on the bulk of the duties from the RB position for the Titans.
-Paul Baitinger and Mark Cacko
Michael Turner - San Diego Chargers
No RB had done what LT is trying to do for more than 3 straight seasons. Priest Holmes was injured which opened the door for Larry Johnson. I am not saying this will happen, but Turner could still end up with 800 total yards and 4-6 TDs without an LT injury. With one, he'll be an elite RB.
Here's what we said last year about Turner:
"
Michael 'Burner' Turner averaged 5.9 yards per carry in 2005 while playing second-fiddle to LT. We told you last year that LT owners absolutely must draft this guy in the late rounds as LT has been worked quite hard, averaging approximately 341 carries and 68 receptions (409 touches) per season in his career. No other player in the NFL has averaged such lofty ‘touch’ totals the last 5 seasons. Thus, he is at risk to break down a bit. Turner should turn in very good numbers should this happen."
-Mark Cacko
Ronald Curry - Oakland Raiders
Jerry Porter is an enigma and hasn't looked as good as Curry has. Porter holds enough value to draft as a 4th WR, but I'm not so sure about him being the Raiders #1 WR... I feel that Curry is a more consistent player and will see more passes, thus he is due for a career season. Therefore, he may be a nice suprise this year. -Mark Cacko
DJ Hackett - Seattle Seahawks
Hackett is a bit of an unheralded player. I see no reason why he won't beat out Nate Burleson to be the starter in Seattle opposite Branch. Furthermore, Hackett's size lends him to being a better red zone threat than the dimunitive Deion Branch.. -Bryan Hughes
Devin Hester - Chicago Bears
He may not be a deep sleeper in the true sense of the word only because everybody has heard of this guy and what he can do as a return man. However, most of you don't know that he is now also a wide receiver and most owners will not even consider him on draft day. Word out of Bears camp is he is as electrifying catching passes as he is returning kicks, I have read reports where he is lining up all over the field and is beating anybody and everybody who is covering him. If you are in a deeper league and can use a roster spot to “stash” a player for later use the risk/reward on Hester is out of this world. You can draft him in one of the last rounds of your draft and then the Bears decide to make him a regular contributor on offense you could end up with this years version of Mike Furrey, only quicker and faster. -Trent DeGrazia
Vincent Jackson - San Diego Chargers
Jackson is just one of a number of big WRs that San Diego has stocked up on. He showed some real progress in the last 4 games of 2006 in which he hauled in 14 passes for 286 yards and 3 TDs. He is essentially a WR/TE due to his size 6-5 and 240 pounds, so he figures to be a good red zone target for Philip Rivers. He could be on the verge of a breakout type season and lead the Chargers WRs in catches, yards, and TDs. We see him as a marginal #3 fantasy WR at this point with potential for about 850 yards and 8 TDs. -Paul Baitinger and Al Lackner
Brandon Marshall - Denver Broncos
Marshall has been named the starter in Denver opposite Walker with Rod Smith likely to be placed on the PUP list. That leaves the door open for him to step in and post some pretty solid numbers. I prefer him over the much more known name in Stokley because, well, he'll be the starter AND he is not coming off an achilles injury. -Paul Baitinger
Brandon Stokley - Denver Broncos
Brandon is poised to be the steal of many drafts. With his experience he has the chance to overtake an aging Rod Smith and the inexperienced Brandon Marshall in the Denver offense yet go in the 14th - 18th round of fantasy drafts. 1000-8 is not out of the question here if he can unseat Marshall.
-Tim DiRocco
Craig Davis - San Diego Chargers
With Eric Parker getting injured the Rookie may get a chance to start in SD. With the focus on LT and Gates, Davis may have a surprise season. -Mark Cacko
Marcedes Lewis - Jacksonville Jaguars
Marcedes is the forgotten man of the TE crowd.
Just like the rest of the receiving unit, he is big, fast and strong.
His competition? A diminishing Jermaine Wiggins (who was cut this week). He'll likely be sitting on your league's waiver wire, but he could be the steal of the waiver wire draft. At 6-6 and 250 pounds, Lewis should be a great red zone threat, but we submit to you that the Jags have a number of these over-sized WRs that will also vye for those passes (Matt Jones, Reggie Williams, and Ernest Wilford). Don't overvalue Lewis in fantasy leagues, as he figures to be mired in a TEBC (Tight End By Committee).
Sure, we know that a high ankle sprain hampered him last year, but Lewis was drafted in 2006 to be the #1 TE in the Jaguar offense. Of course, George Wrighster decided he had something to say about it as he rang up 353 yards and 3 TDs to 126-1 for Lewis. That was last year and that's history now. I look for Lewis to claim the starting TE job in Jacksonville which should favor more chances for TEs to participate in the offense. That could mean a 500 yard season with about 5 TDs if all goes well for Lewis. -Tim DiRocco and Al Lackner
Marcus Pollard - Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks may have finally found a TE with sure hands. Seattle still thinks that he can put up numbers and perform. They let the underachieving Jeremy Stevens go as he was an off-field headache. Pollard was not a fit in Mike Martz's offense last year and should be a back up TE this year or undrafted until proven otherwise, but do keep in mind that Holmgren has always loved throwing the ball to his TEs. While J. Stevens was very inconsistent, Pollard isn't. Don't forget that the TE plays a prominat roll in Mike Holgrems offense. -Paul Baitinger and Mark Cacko
Visanthe Shiancoe - Minnesota Vikings
Don't ask us what the Vikings are thinking other than young QBs usually rely a lot on their TE as check-offs. That means that the Vikings needed to upgrade their TE situation and they're hoping that they caught lightning in a bottle with Shiancoe. We didn't see enough good out of Shiancoe to make him worth the huge contract that the Vikings shelled out to get him, so at this point we are being conservative and ranking him as a marginal #2 fantasy TE.
Our take is that he must prove to us that he is a worth-while fantasy player before we can recommend that you draft him. Do, however, keep an eye on him for the waiver-wire. He could actually turn out to lead the Vikings in TD catches as their WR situation is quite questionable. -Bryan Hughes
Nick Folk - Dallas Cowboys
We're hedging that the Cowboys will have seen enough of Gramatica to cut him loose. He missed a PAT this week while in a battle with the rookie Folk and also injured his hammy to boot. That means that we're expecting him to get the boot. Stay tuned! -Paul Baitinger
San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers added more talent to their defense. I love the addition of tackling machine Patrick Willis and a very good cover corner in Nate Clements. I expect the 49ers defense to be on the rise to the point that they could be draftable in leagues that require you to draft 2 defensive teams. -Paul Baitinger