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Worst Value Picks of the NFL Draft
Wondering which individual picks in the draft were the worst? While it is impossible to tell at this early stage, the Commish thought it would be interesting to use the method that Jimmy Johnson perfected to ascribe a specific point value to each position in the draft in hopes of translating draft selections to point values.

What we have done here is assigned a "Ranked Value" associated with where we have the players ranked. Meanwhile, we have also assigned a "Selected Value" associated with the spot at which the player was ultimately selected in the draft. The list below represents the players with the worst differential between where we had them projected to go, and where they were actually drafted. Clearly, using this formula, we had the Oakland Raiders receiving the worst value with their first round selection of Darrius Heyward-Bey. That doesn't mean that the pick was a bad one. It just means that the Cardinals selected Brown a few spots earlier than we thought he would go.
 
Worst Individual Picks of the 2009 Draft
RankPlayerTeamRanked ValueSelected ValueDifference
*Darrius Heyward-Bey (WR) - Maryland 
OAK 
670 
1775 
-1105 
Tyson Jackson (DE) - LSU 
KC 
1450 
2500 
-1050 
*Andre Smith (OT) - Alabama 
CIN 
950 
1950 
-1000 
*Matthew Stafford (QB) - Georgia 
DET 
2200 
2800 
-600 
Michael Mitchell (DB) - Ohio 
OAK 
430 
-429 
Larry English (OLB) - Northern Illinois (DE) 
SD 
530 
950 
-420 
Pat White (WR) - West Virginia (QB) 
MIA 
99 
460 
-361 
Sebastian Vollmer (OT) - Houston 
NE 
33 
323 
-290 
Eric Wood (OC) - Louisville 
BUF 
380 
670 
-290 
10 
Mohamad Massaquoi (WR) - Georgia  
CLE 
118 
400 
-282 
11 
Patrick Chung (S) - Oregon 
NE 
283 
560 
-277 
12 
David Veikune (OLB) - Hawaii 
CLE 
114 
380 
-266 
13 
Richard Quinn (TE) - North Carolina 
DEN 
13 
275 
-262 
14 
Darcel McBath (S) - Texas Tech 
DEN 
163 
420 
-257 
15 
*Mark Sanchez (QB) - USC 
NYJ 
1950 
2200 
-250 
16 
Jason Williams (OLB) - Western Illinois 
DAL 
241 
-240 
17 
*Josh Freeman (QB) - Kansas State 
TB 
690 
925 
-235 
18 
Terrance Knighton (DT) - Temple 
JAC 
223 
-222 
19 
Derek Cox (CB) - William & Mary 
JAC 
218 
-217 
20 
Robert Brewster (OT) - Ball State 
DAL 
208 
-207 
21 
*Jairus Byrd (S) - Oregon 
BUF 
291 
480 
-189 
22 
Bradley Fletcher (CB) - Iowa 
STL 
78 
261 
-183 
23 
*Donald Brown (RB) - Connecticut 
IND 
510 
690 
-180 
24 
Louis Vasquez (OG) - Texas Tech  
SD 
20 
193 
-173 
25 
Matt Shaughnessy (DE) - Wisconsin 
OAK 
60 
229 
-169 
26 
Mike Wallace (WR) - Mississippi 
PIT 
163 
-162 
27 
DeAndre Levy (OLB) - Wisconsin 
DET 
50 
203 
-153 
28 
*Percy Harvin (WR) - Florida (Inj) 
MIN 
650 
800 
-150 
29 
Patrick Turner (WR) - USC 
MIA 
148 
-147 
30 
*Glenn Coffee (RB) - Alabama 
SF 
66 
213 
-147 
31 
Andy Levitre (OG) - Oregon State 
BUF 
247 
390 
-143 
32 
Chris Owens (CB) - San Jose State 
ATL 
134 
-133 
33 
Brian Cushing (OLB) - USC 
HOU 
850 
975 
-125 
34 
Robert Ayers (DE) - Tennessee 
DEN 
775 
900 
-125 
35 
Ryan Mouton (CB) - Hawaii 
TEN 
118 
-117 
36 
*Kenny Britt (WR) - Rutgers 
TEN 
520 
630 
-110 
37 
Corvey Irvin (DT) - Georgia 
CAR 
19 
122 
-103 
38 
Brandon Tate (WR) - North Carolina (Inj) 
NE 
80 
168 
-88 
39 
Henry Melton (DE) - Texas 
CHI 
86 
-85 
40 
Fili Moala (DT) - USC 
IND 
261 
341 
-80 
41 
*Brian Hartline (WR) - Ohio State 
MIA 
80 
-79 
42 
Deon Butler (WR) - Penn State 
SEA 
52 
130 
-78 
43 
Victor Butler (DE) - Oregon State 
DAL 
76 
-75 
44 
Alex Mack (OC) - California 
CLE 
750 
825 
-75 
45 
Sherrod Martin (CB) - Troy 
CAR 
241 
315 
-74 
46 
Glover Quin (S) - New Mexico 
HOU 
72 
-71 
47 
Vaughn Martin (DT) - Western Ontario 
SD 
70 
-69 
48 
Brian Robiskie (WR) - Ohio State 
CLE 
470 
540 
-70 
49 
Mike Goodson (RB) - Texas A&M 
CAR 
74 
-69 
50 
Lardarius Webb (CB) - Nicholls State  
BAL 
76 
143 
-67 
51 
David Bruton (S) - Notre Dame 
DEN 
68 
-66 
52 
Alex Magee (DT) - Purdue 
KC 
193 
254 
-61 
53 
Stanley Arnoux (MLB) - Wake Forest  
NO 
60 
-59 
54 
Cody Brown (OLB) - Connecticut 
ARI 
223 
283 
-60 
55 
Travis Beckum (TE) - Wisconsin (Inj) 
NYG 
42 
99 
-57 
56 
Stephen McGee (QB) - Texas A&M 
DAL 
39 
96 
-57 
57 
Antoine Caldwell (OC) - Alabama 
HOU 
143 
198 
-55 
58 
*Knowshon Moreno (RB) - Georgia 
DEN 
1050 
1100 
-50 
59 
Rich Ohrnberger (OG) - Penn State 
NE 
50 
-49 
60 
Slade Norris (DE) - Oregon State 
OAK 
46 
-45 
61 
*Austin Collie (WR) - BYU 
IND 
45 
-44 
62 
Greg Toler (CB) - St. Paul's College 
ARI 
41 
-40 
63 
Scott Olsen (OG) - Iowa 
DEN 
40 
-39 
64 
*Shonn Greene (RB) - Iowa 
NYJ 
229 
268 
-39 
65 
Gartrell Johnson (RB) - Colorado State 
SD 
39 
-38 
66 
William Middleton (CB) - Furman 
ATL 
37 
-36 
67 
Colin Brown (OT) - Missouri 
KC 
36 
-35 
68 
Kevin Huber (P) - Cincinnati 
CIN 
35 
-34 
69 
Jarrett Dillard (WR) - Rice  
JAC 
34 
-33 
70 
Quinn Johnson (FB) - LSU 
GB 
34 
-33 
71 
Davon Drew (TE) - East Carolina 
BAL 
32 
-31 
72 
Chase Coffman (TE) - Missouri 
CIN 
74 
105 
-31 
73 
Brandon Hughes (CB) - Oregon State 
SD 
32 
-30 
74 
Kraig Urbik (OG) - Wisconsin 
PIT 
158 
188 
-30 
75 
Roy Miller (DT) - Texas 
TB 
148 
178 
-30 
76 
Sammie Lee Hill (DT) - Stillman 
DET 
36 
66 
-30 
77 
Anthony Hill (TE) - North Carolina State (Inj) 
HOU 
23 
52 
-29 
78 
Cody Glenn (LB) - Nebraska 
WAS 
28 
-27 
79 
Dorell Scott (DT) - Clemson 
STL 
62 
90 
-28 
80 
Phil Loadholt (OT) - Oklahoma 
MIN 
332 
360 
-28 
81 
John Nalbone (TE) - Monmouth  
MIA 
27 
-26 
82 
Kenny McKinley (WR) - South Carolina 
DEN 
36 
-27 
83 
Thomas Morstead (P) - SMU 
NO 
26 
-25 
84 
Malcolm Jenkins (CB) - Ohio State 
NO 
975 
1000 
-25 
85 
Frank Summers (RB) - UNLV 
PIT 
24 
-23 
86 
George Bussey (OG) - Louisville  
NE 
23 
-22 
87 
*Sen'Derrick Marks (DT) - Auburn 
TEN 
268 
291 
-23 
88 
Xavier Fulton (OT) - Illinois 
TB 
29 
-22 
89 
David Buehler (K) - Southern Cal 
DAL 
23 
-22 
90 
Tom Brandstater (QB) - Fresno State 
DEN 
22 
-21 
91 
Quinton Lawrence (WR) - McNeese State  
KC 
21 
-20 
92 
Spencer Adkins (LB) - Miami 
ATL 
21 
-20 
93 
Mike Teel (QB) - Rutgers 
SEA 
20 
-19 
94 
*Hakeem Nicks (WR) - North Carolina 
NYG 
630 
650 
-20 
95 
Max Unger (OC) - Oregon 
SEA 
390 
410 
-20 
96 
Ron Brace (DT) - Boston College 
NE 
480 
500 
-20 
97 
Zach Miller (TE) - Nebraska-Omaha 
JAC 
19 
-18 
98 
Jarius Wynn (DE) - Georgia 
GB 
19 
-18 
99 
Don Carey (CB) - Norfolk State 
CLE 
21 
-18 
100 
Robert Henson (OLB) - TCU 
WAS 
17 
-16 
 
 * Denotes Underclassmen
 
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